Site icon Small Business Currents

Navigating Small Business Growth in the 2nd Half of 2026 Under Ongoing Inflation

inflation

As we head into the second half of the year, ongoing inflation continues to reinforce a K-shaped economy as AI adoption generates a reduction in demand for labor, faster than the economy can create new jobs.

While inflation is impacting all consumers across nearly all goods, it is not impacting all consumers equally. The wealthy minority is driving growth in consumer spending while everyone else struggles to make ends meet. Wealthy consumers are relatively immune to higher costs, while less wealthy consumers see more of their discretionary income going to operating vehicles and buying groceries. The result is a bifurcated market for small businesses to target, where one customer group continues to demand premium-quality and service items while the other is looking for value and ways to reduce expenses.

Small businesses serving a less affluent client base are looking to lower the cost of their goods and services while still providing a basic level of service. Restaurants may choose to swap out organic or farm-fresh menu items for frozen or more highly processed substitutes. Technology retailers may stock up on refurbished computers and phones rather than marketing new inventory. Retailers may also partner with buy now, pay later (“BNPL”) firms to help customers finance their purchases.

Small businesses should be focused on customer demand, cost of goods, operating expenses, and free cash flow. Finding a dependable market at prices that are sufficient to cover the cost of the business is critical in a volatile market like the one we are experiencing today. Companies operating in this environment should also maintain several financing relationships to help them finance growth and handle any volatility in cash flow. Having options in difficult times is critical to managing a durable business.

Securing Financing to Fund Growth

For small business owners, navigating the landscape of financing can be a formidable task. Whether you’re launching a new venture or expanding an existing one, securing financing for your small business involves a thorough understanding of market opportunities, cost projections, and timing. Here are important steps to set you up for success.

Maintain a Solid Business Plan

A well-prepared business plan is essential for securing financing. It allows you to articulate the opportunity, capital requirements, and expected returns. While traditional banks may require a detailed business plan, non-bank lenders might offer quicker funding with less documentation. Regardless, a comprehensive business plan provides clarity and demonstrates your preparedness to potential lenders.

Familiarize Yourself With Loan Products

Understand the types of loan products available and which ones align with your business needs. For example, SBA lending, invoice factoring, purchase order financing, equipment financing, merchant cash advances, small business lines of credit, and term loans (which may be offered by companies that also offer merchant cash advances but structure some products as loans).

Small businesses also have options through traditional and alternative lenders. Banks that maintain a deposit relationship with a customer may be willing to offer lower-cost lending products; however, banks are generally more conservative than alternative lenders in terms of which businesses they will extend credit to, the amounts that they are willing to extend, and the time it takes to make a decision on credit. Here are some key differences:

In the wake of the failures of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic, these institutions have only become more conservative. As a result, the application process can take weeks and require considerable amounts of information, including financial statements, tax returns, work orders, and a business plan. In many cases, personal guarantees and specific collateral will be required, and for younger businesses without a strong history of profitability, acceptance rates can be low.

However, some alternative lenders whose primary business is processing credit cards (the merchant processing industry) may underwrite using only the credit card cash flow and may not require bank statements. This can limit the total cash flow the underwriter can see to only the revenue the business books using credit cards, and can limit the total amount of capital the applicant qualifies for.

Decisioning is often based on a combination of human underwriting and algorithmic decisioning models that take into account both customer-generated and third-party data. Alternative lenders often charge more for their capital than banks and credit unions, but generally do not require collateral, can accept a wider range of applicants—many with imperfect credit profiles—and can frequently deliver capital much faster than other lending institutions. Alternative lenders may require as little as an application, three months of bank statements, approval to pull credit, and a driver’s license in order to underwrite and approve a customer.

Additional Tips for Securing Financing

Ben Johnston is the Chief Operating Officer of Kapitus, one of the most reliable and respected names in small business finance. Kapitus provides growth capital to small businesses and has provided over $8.5 billion to over 50,000 small businesses since 2006.

Kapitus offers multiple loan products to small businesses, including SBA loans, revenue-based finance, equipment finance, cash-flow-based factoring, revolving lines of credit, and invoice factoring.


Photo courtesy Getty Images
for
Unsplash+

Exit mobile version